• Odds Of Flopping A Royal Flush In Hold'em

There are nine cards among the board and the two hands. These have to include all four Aces, plus the KQJT of one suit, plus any ninth card. There’s one way to pick the four Aces, four ways to pick the KQJT (spades, hearts, diamonds or clubs). So, in order to calculate our odds of hitting a straight flush, divide the total number of straight flush hands (36) by the total number of possible hands (2,598,960) to get: 0.00139% chance of hitting a straight flush. Royal Panda reserves the right to change the terms and conditions of its promotions at Texas Holdem Odds Of Royal Flush any time.; In the event of conflicting information, the information described in the terms and conditions for Royal Panda promotions and bonuses shall prevail over any descriptions provided in Royal Panda’s promotions and bonuses explained.

I think I agree with your flop math: (3/50)*(2/49)*(1/48)=1 in 19600.

My local casino runs a special prize for making a Royal Flush (RF) hand in Hold Em poker. The hand does not have to go to showdown, but both your hole cards must play (i.e. they must be 2 of the 5 RF cards). I was discussing the odds of making such a hand with other players and I got a lot of different feedback, none of which I felt was correct. Here is the scenario:
You have 2 of the 5 RF cards in the hole. Doesn't matter if they are As-Ks or Js-Ts, etc. What are the odds you will get a Royal Flush by street:
a) make RF by the Flop
b) make RF by the Turn
c) make RF by the River
My calculations were as follows:
a1) 19,599 to 1 on the flop
b1) about 5,000 to 1 on the turn
c1) about 2,000 to 1 on the river
The general consensus was the true value by the river was either 60,000 to 1 or 30,000 to 1 by the river. This seems totally nonsensical to me but I was in the distinct minority (i.e. it was only me!). Can someone with more probability know-how step up and provide a definite answer to this question?
Thank You.

If you have 2 royal flush cards as hole cards the odds that you will make a royal flush by the river using those hole cards are combin(47,2)/combin(50,2) or 1081/2118760 or 1 in 1960. 1/10 the time you flop it. 3/10 it will be made on the turn and 6/10 on the river.

The general consensus was the true value by the river was either 60,000 to 1 or 30,000 to 1 by the river. This seems totally nonsensical to me but I was in the distinct minority (i.e. it was only me!). Can someone with more probability know-how step up and provide a definite answer to this question?
Thank You.

Because in terms of it just generally happening they were correct. It's only about one in 2000 to happen by the river AFTER you get Royal holecards dealt to you, unfortunately 97% of starting hands aren't two Royal cards.
The probability of getting 2 Royal cards to start: 4*C(5,2)/C(52,2) = 40/1326 = 0.030166
The probability of the board containing the other 3 Royal cards: C(47,2)/C(50,5) = 1081/2,118,760 = 0.000510204
The probability of both events happening for you to win the high hand jackpot: 0.030166*0.000510204 = 0.00001539 = 1 in 64,974.
The one in 30,000 number tossed around is the chances of getting any Royal Flush with zero, one, or two hole cards:
4*C(47,2)/C(52,7) = 1 in 30,940.

Poker can be a fun card game for the family, or a serious competitive game in which the steaks can be so enormous, even selling your house wouldn’t cover the costs.

There are many variations of poker, with Texas Hold ‘Em being the most popular worldwide.

Below are a whole bunch of poker facts and statistics which help you understand the chances of wining and the odds of getting the cards you want.

Did You Know?

A pocket pair is cards of the same rank, which means if your two cards have the same number, from 2-2 all the way up to A-A, this is called a pocket pair.

• The odds of receiving any pocket pair is 5.9% which is 16 to 1. These are also the same odds of receiving a pocket pair of 2’s.
• The odds of receiving a specific pocket pair: 0.45% or 220 to 1 These are the same odds for receiving a pocket pair of A’s.
• The odds of receiving a pocket pair of A’s twice in a row is 0.002047% or 48,840 to 1.
• The odds of receiving a pocket pair of K’s is 0.9% which is 220 to 1.
• The odds of receiving a pocket pair of Q’s is 1.4% which is 73 to 1.
• The odds of receiving a pocket pair of J’s is 1.8% which is 54 to 1.
• The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 10’s is 2.3% which is 43 to 1.
• The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 9’s is 2.7% which is 36 to 1.
• The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 8’s is 3.2 which is 31 to 1.
• The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 7’s is 3.6% which is 27 to 1.
• The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 6’s is 4.1% which is 24 to 1.
• The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 5’s is 4.5% which is 21 to 1.
• The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 4’s is 5.0% which is 19 to 1.
• The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 3’s is 5.4% which is 17 to 1.

Poker Fast Facts

The total number of possible royal flush hands in a standard 52 card deck is 4.

And the odds of making a royal flush is 649,739 to 1.

This is correct assuming that every game plays to the river.

In poker terms, the river is the name for the fifth card dealt, face-up on the board.

In total, there are 2,598,960 possible poker hands with 52 cards.

The odds of getting four of a kind in Texas Hold ‘Em is 4164 to 1.

Casinos normally change decks after 15 minutes of steady play, so that the cards can always be fresh and unmarked, as many professional players would be able to remember the certain markings on cards and use that to their advantage.

This is only a basic overview of poker odds, there are many calculators online that can help solve the odds of getting certain hands, depending on what stage of the game you’re at, what cards you currently hold and how many people are playing.

Now you are familiar with these odds, you can use them to your advantage for a better poker strategy when you finally decided to play a tournament.

Odds Of Flopping A Royal Flush In Hold'em

In Texas Hold-Em Poker the odds of making a royal flush hand is only 649,739 to 1.